Articles
The Growth Effects of Population Aging in an Economy with Endogenous Technological Progress
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AuthorYoung Jun Chun (Hanyang University)
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Year2013
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VolumeVol.29
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NumberNo.1
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We address the effects of population aging on economic growth, taking account of its
growth-delaying effects, through the reduction of capital accumulation and labor force, and
the R&D investment reduction due to its lowered return resulting from reduced market size,
as well as its growth-promoting effects, through the increase in educational investment due
to decrease in the number of child per parent. The policy simulations with a general
equilibrium model and its calibration, reflecting the Korean economy, show that: (1) the
population aging delays technological progress as well as quantitative economic growth; (2)
the government subsidies to R&D and educational investment can partly compensate for the
loss in economic growth due to the population aging, but they cannot deal with the problem
fundamentally; and (3) the optimal subsidy rates to R&D and education are quite high,
ranging from 50 to 70% to R&D and from 70 to 80% to education. -
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