Articles

Articles

Dynamic Endogenous Risks & Non-Expected Utility Behavior
  • Author
    Ram Ranjan (Macquarie University) and Jason F. Shogren (University of Wyoming)
  • Year
    2009
  • Volume
    Vol.25
  • Number
    No.2
  • The theory of endogenous risk captures the idea that people self-protect and self-insure to reduce risks to human and environmental health. Herein we extend the standard static model to include the realities of (1) dynamic and multiple risks, and (2) non-expected utility (non-EU) behavior. Our
    results suggest both self-protection and self-insurance decrease for any one risk when cumulative dynamic risks are large and when multiple risks exist. If people are non-EU maximizers, self-protection and self-insurance also decline when they follow the conservatism heuristic (insufficient weighting of
    new information). In addition, if non-EU people over- and under-weight probabilities of bad states, they can invest non-linearly in self-protection and self-insurance.

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