Articles

Articles

Dynamic Industrial Classification and the Gravity Model in Product Space
  • Author
    In-Moo Kim (Sungkyunkwan University), Daeyong Kim (Korea Deveopment Institute), Yong-Ju Lee (Yeungnam University) and Sungro Lee (Korea Gas Corporation)
  • Year
    2017
  • Volume
    Vol.65
  • Number
    No.1
  • This paper investigates the global trend of centrality measure in product
    space and develops dynamic industrial classification based on this measure. In
    addition, the paper analyzes the gravity model with product-level heterogeneity
    which originates from centrality measure in product space and examines how
    much the centrality measure explains the export structure of Korea, China and
    Japan. Empirical results show that over 30% of products in product space have
    significantly changed their centrality in the past 24 years. Also, the empirical
    results based on the gravity model in product space illustrates that the
    estimated elasticity of centrality measure, the major concept of product space,
    is significantly positive in all of the model specifications as theoretically
    expected and plays an important role in determining trade flows in global
    market and the export structure in the country level. These evidence illustrates
    that Korea has successfully achieved the structural transformation in manufacturing industries more timely than China and Japan as the global trend
    of export sophistication in product space has changed. Also, with these
    results, we carefully predict that the structural transformation in product space
    play a key role in economic growth of the manufacturing countries.
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