Articles

Articles

A Study on the Indeterministic Nature of LQ in Estimating Regional Trades in Applying for more
  • Author
    Haemyoung Ji (Kangwon National University), Tai-Youn Chung (Kangwon National University), HaiLong Ji (Kangwon National University)
  • Year
    2016
  • Volume
    Vol.64
  • Number
    No.4
  • In estimating regional trade, LQ index is not proper in applying to more
    than 4 regions; first, the indeterministic nature of allocating regional trades
    among regions is shown; second, cross-hauling is not captured in the LQ
    method, which is generally induced in actual regional trade; third, demand
    constraints are imposed on regional industrial demands for holding
    demand-production equilibrium. Therefore the LQ index calculated based on
    the original data, is changed by the equilibrium condition. This is due to the
    fact that LQ index does not include the distance-decay variables that control
    regional trade among regions. Thereby, the internal consistency in a model
    can not be held in LQ model. The estimates by the model may not be
    applicable to explain regional trade structures and can not be used as a general
    model to estimate regional trades. We suggest alternative models such as
    production-demand constraint gravity model and entropy maximization model
    for estimating the trade volume and structure.
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